What Is In The Store For The Indian Markets in 2019?

January 29, 2019
investment banking

 

In 2019, the current Prime Minister of India, Mr Narendra Modi is scheduled to submit his application and woo a billion individuals of India for a second run as the ruling government. While pole predictions are on the way and experts predict that Modi will undoubtedly succeed in his attempt, there is another major event in global history which is scheduled to happen.

In Mid 2018, the World Bank is set to release a global list of nations GDP from across the world. While this seems uninteresting at first sight, experts predict that India is set to overcome and become the 5th largest nation in the world surpassing the UK. While this might seem to be a rare coincidence, we can confidently say that political parties will not let go of this opportunity to show off their might and skills. But since the results are yet to be announced, experts are predicting the outcome based on previous data.

According to the latest estimates by the World Bank, the GDP or Gross Domestic Product of India was 15 billion USD bigger than the French economy in 2017. As of now, India is only behind, United States of America (USA), China, Japan, Germany and United Kingdom (UK) in terms of its economy, but this year this might change for the better.

While both China and the USA are multi-trillion dollar economies, the India of today is only a 2.6 trillion USD economy. Right after the recession and depression of 2010 to 2017, the UK has only seen a 2 per cent growth in its economy, while India has seen a staggering 7.5 per cent. If the economy of India continues to grow at the same rate even this year, the predictions will come true, and India will surpass UK in its overall GDP.

Although the ruling party might contest a narrative around this news, but the fact still remains that the living standards of the UK are too high for the average Indian to catch. As of 2017, the average income of a UK resident was $42,515 whereas that of her Indian counterparts was only $1,964.

While India may surely surpass the UK in the race for becoming the 5th largest economy in the world, it will take her some years to overtake that of Germany. As of now, Germany is the fourth largest economy in the world, with the World Bank pegging her at 4.7 trillion US Dollars.

Another announcement that is scheduled to take place is that of India becoming the fastest growing economy in the world this year. With a projected growth of more than 7.3 per cent over the past couple of years and a GDP growth of 7.6 per cent in the first quarter of 2018 to 2019. As per the statistics available with the Central Statistics Office(CSO), the average per capita of Indians have increased from Rs. 86,647/- in 2014-15 to Rs 112,835/- in 2017-18, recording a 30.2 percent growth from 2014-15 to 2017-18.

With all this being said, we can confidently predict that this will be a year of growth for India as a country of billions.

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